Lucchese Libertas vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASL
51%
27%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ASL
2 - 1
JUS
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
FRO
1 - 0
ASL
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ASL
4 - 0
MAS
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASL
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
USF
1 - 1
NAP
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ACI
0 - 0
USF
36%
30%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
USF
1 - 1
GEL
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SSM
2 - 0
USF
37%
26%
36%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
USF
3 - 2
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |