Lucchese Libertas vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASL
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 0
REG
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
RAV
0 - 0
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASL
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
COS
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
USF
2 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
PES
4 - 0
USF
56%
21%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
USF
1 - 1
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
LEC
2 - 1
USF
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |