Lucchese Libertas vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
REG
2 - 0
ASL
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
VER
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASL
37%
29%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
COS
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
GEN
1 - 1
USF
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
PIS
2 - 3
USF
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
PAL
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |