Lucchese Libertas vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
USC
1 - 0
ASL
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 1
MOD
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASL
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
ASL
2 - 1
TRI
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
COS
1 - 0
ASL
45%
29%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
USF
2 - 1
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 2
USF
33%
30%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
USF
2 - 2
UDI
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
USF
1 - 1
PAD
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
VER
2 - 1
USF
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |