Lucchese Libertas vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1997 |
TOR
2 - 2
ASL
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 1
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASL
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1997 |
USC
1 - 3
REG
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
VNZ
3 - 2
USC
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
USC
2 - 2
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
CES
4 - 0
USC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
USF
1 - 2
USC
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |