Lucchese Libertas vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
31.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1993 |
TAR
1 - 1
ASL
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
43%
30%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
ASC
1 - 1
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
MOD
2 - 2
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ASL
3 - 1
SPA
55%
28%
18%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1993 |
USC
2 - 2
BOL
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
COS
0 - 1
USC
41%
30%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
USC
2 - 0
PIA
62%
24%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
VNZ
1 - 1
USC
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
USC
2 - 0
LEC
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |