Lucchese Libertas vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1963 |
UDI
2 - 1
ASL
72%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
PRO
4 - 0
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 2
USF
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 3
BAR
37%
30%
33%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
COS
1 - 1
ASL
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1963 |
USA
1 - 0
USF
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
USA
0 - 0
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
UDI
1 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
USA
3 - 0
TRI
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
VER
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |