Lucchese Libertas vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
TOR
1 - 1
ASL
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAM
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
BOL
2 - 1
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASL
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ASL
1 - 0
INT
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
UDI
3 - 1
COM
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
UDI
2 - 1
INT
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 3
UDI
60%
20%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
UDI
0 - 1
PRO
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
NOV
4 - 1
UDI
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |