Lucchese Libertas vs Real Forte Querceta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 1
ASL
14%
26%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 3
GRA
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
USR
0 - 1
ASL
23%
27%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
BIS
1 - 0
ASL
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
USR
1 - 0
ASD
43%
26%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
VFC
1 - 1
USR
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
USR
0 - 1
ASL
23%
27%
50%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
USR
0 - 0
CAR
10%
18%
72%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 2
USR
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |