Lucchese Libertas vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASL
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 2
ATL
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
TOR
2 - 1
ASL
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 0
PES
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 2
FIA
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
TRE
1 - 3
FIA
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
TRE
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
TRE
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |