Lucchese Libertas vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASL
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAL
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
ASL
3 - 3
LEC
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
TOR
4 - 2
REG
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAS
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
33%
28%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
TOR
3 - 3
GEN
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
PAL
1 - 0
TOR
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |