Lucchese Libertas vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
SAM
1 - 1
ASL
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
ASL
2 - 0
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
INT
4 - 3
ASL
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 0
JUV
22%
23%
56%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
TOR
3 - 2
BOL
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
SAM
1 - 0
TOR
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAL
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
JUV
6 - 0
TOR
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
TOR
5 - 2
TRI
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |