Lucchese Libertas vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
INT
4 - 0
ASL
90%
6%
3%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASL
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 4
GEN
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASL
52%
22%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
45%
24%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
TOR
2 - 4
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
71%
15%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
INT
1 - 0
TOR
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
LAZ
6 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |