Lucchese Libertas vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
ROM
3 - 0
ASL
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
ASL
1 - 0
SAM
40%
24%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
TRI
4 - 1
ASL
68%
18%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ASL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
23%
29%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
TOR
6 - 1
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
TOR
3 - 0
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
USA
0 - 0
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
TOR
2 - 2
LAZ
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |