Lucchese Libertas vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
USF
2 - 3
ASL
64%
23%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ASL
2 - 0
SSB
73%
17%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 1
ASL
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASL
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASL
3 - 3
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
TER
0 - 0
NUO
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 0
TER
37%
30%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
SIE
2 - 0
TER
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TER
3 - 1
SPE
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |