Lucchese Libertas vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
COS
2 - 1
ASL
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 2
ASL
51%
28%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 0
PAL
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
TAR
43%
30%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 1
VNZ
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 1
MOD
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |