Lucchese Libertas vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 1
ASL
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASL
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASL
3 - 3
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASL
12%
23%
65%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASL
2 - 0
ACP
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 0
SSB
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SSB
2 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SSC
0 - 0
SSB
43%
26%
32%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SSB
1 - 0
BRI
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GEL
0 - 0
SSB
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |