Lucchese Libertas vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAD
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PAV
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASL
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACL
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
NOV
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 4
ABN
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |