Lucchese Libertas vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
PAL
3 - 1
ASL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 2
COM
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
UDI
2 - 0
ASL
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
ASL
3 - 0
TOR
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SAM
1 - 1
ASL
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAD
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
SPA
4 - 0
LAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
NAP
2 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1952 |
PAL
3 - 0
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 1
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |