Lucchese Libertas vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 3
ASL
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
MES
3 - 0
ASL
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 1
FAN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ASS
2 - 2
ASL
47%
24%
28%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
SIR
0 - 0
MES
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
SIR
2 - 0
TRE
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
MOD
1 - 0
SIR
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
BRE
4 - 1
SIR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
SIR
1 - 1
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |