Lucchese Libertas vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 0
ASL
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OLB
1 - 1
ASL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 3
GER
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
ASL
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CUN
2 - 0
SIE
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 0
ACP
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 0
ARZ
44%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SIE
2 - 3
PON
50%
26%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
PIS
1 - 2
SIE
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |