Lucchese Libertas vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASL
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ASL
2 - 1
RCR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REN
0 - 0
ASL
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 0
ASL
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIA
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
REN
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
TUT
1 - 1
SIE
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 2
USC
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
SIE
22%
23%
56%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SIE
2 - 0
USA
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |