Lucchese Libertas vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
64.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASL
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 0
LRO
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 0
ASL
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 3
FIO
8%
20%
72%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
USF
2 - 1
ASL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 0
ACP
75%
18%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 0
SIE
11%
21%
68%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAR
77%
16%
6%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
3 - 2
LRO
81%
15%
5%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 0
SIE
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |