Lucchese Libertas vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 3
ASL
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
REG
1 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 1
ASL
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
ARZ
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 0
PAD
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ACL
0 - 0
SAS
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SAS
67%
20%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
CES
27%
29%
44%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 0
SAS
55%
26%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |