Lucchese Libertas vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ASL
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
ANC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
ASL
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 0
FOR
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
BV5
37%
26%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAN
57%
22%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASD
0 - 2
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |