Lucchese Libertas vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
2 - 1
PRO
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 1
ASL
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 2
GEN
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ASL
4 - 1
CES
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 0
ASL
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 2
SAM
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
SAM
3 - 0
SIE
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
SAM
0 - 1
SIE
65%
21%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
VIC
0 - 1
SAM
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
SAM
2 - 1
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |