Lucchese Libertas vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ASL
2 - 0
TRI
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ASL
75%
15%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 0
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ASL
1 - 5
ACM
19%
21%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SAM
0 - 4
INT
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
PAD
2 - 1
SAM
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAZ
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
TRI
2 - 1
SAM
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATL
58%
21%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |