Lucchese Libertas vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASL
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ASL
0 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 2
VIC
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASL
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
SAL
0 - 0
PAL
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
EMP
2 - 0
SAL
38%
29%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SAL
2 - 0
USF
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
PES
1 - 1
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |