Lucchese Libertas vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 1
LAZ
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
PRO
5 - 1
ASL
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
JUV
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 1
USA
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 0
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |