Lucchese Libertas vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASL
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
3 - 3
ASL
51%
27%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 1
CES
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
RIM
1 - 0
CES
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 0
RIM
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RIM
1 - 2
PIS
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
REG
1 - 1
RIM
46%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RIM
3 - 1
SPA
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |