Lucchese Libertas vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASL
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
ASL
3 - 1
ANC
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 2
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
USF
0 - 0
ASL
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
VER
0 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 0
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
REG
2 - 1
GEN
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
ANC
4 - 2
REG
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
REG
2 - 0
REG
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
REG
1 - 1
PIS
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |