Lucchese Libertas vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
70%
20%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEO
18%
23%
58%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 1
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 4
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -3 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PER
0 - 2
ASL
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 2
PRO
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
OLB
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
PRO
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |