Lucchese Libertas vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 0
ASL
56%
26%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ASL
3 - 0
PIA
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
JS2
1 - 0
ASL
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
CUN
0 - 1
ASL
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 0
PIA
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRO
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
PRO
44%
26%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
1 - 0
PRO
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |