Lucchese Libertas vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 1
ASL
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 2
GEN
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ASL
4 - 1
CES
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 0
ASL
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 1
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
PRO
3 - 1
USA
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
PRO
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAL
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAD
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |