Lucchese Libertas vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
FIO
2 - 0
ASL
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
ASL
4 - 2
ATL
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1950 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
60%
19%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
ASL
3 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASL
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAD
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
VNZ
0 - 0
PRO
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1950 |
ATL
2 - 1
PRO
59%
20%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
PRO
6 - 1
TOR
22%
22%
56%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
ACM
7 - 1
PRO
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |