Lucchese Libertas vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASL
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
ATL
5 - 0
ASL
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACM
22%
22%
55%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
ASL
1 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
31%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
USA
4 - 2
ASL
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
INT
4 - 0
PRO
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAL
56%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
PRO
3 - 2
GEN
35%
23%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
NAP
1 - 0
PRO
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
PRO
3 - 1
TRI
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |