Lucchese Libertas vs Potenza SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MAS
1 - 1
ASL
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ASL
0 - 0
JUS
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 1
SSS
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Potenza SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
POT
0 - 2
ANC
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
POT
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
POT
1 - 0
ACS
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 0
POT
51%
27%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
POT
2 - 0
CRO
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |