Lucchese Libertas vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ABN
0 - 0
ASL
61%
24%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
OLB
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
JS2
1 - 1
ASL
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
PRO
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
70%
20%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
PIS
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
3 - 1
PON
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PON
0 - 0
USA
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
PON
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |