Lucchese Libertas vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RIM
2 - 0
ASL
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ANC
29%
27%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASL
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
SIE
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LRO
2 - 5
PON
21%
25%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PON
6 - 0
RIM
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
PON
38%
26%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |