Lucchese Libertas vs AS Pizzighettone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ASS
3 - 2
ASL
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 1
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 0
ASL
40%
31%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
38%
31%
31%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AS Pizzighettone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
PIZ
2 - 3
GRO
21%
28%
51%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ACS
3 - 0
PIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PIZ
0 - 1
SAS
21%
27%
52%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PIZ
0 - 0
CTT
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PIZ
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |