Lucchese Libertas vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
GRO
31%
27%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASL
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 2
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 0
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
ACP
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
PIS
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -3 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PIS
4 - 1
TER
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 0
PIS
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |