Lucchese Libertas vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 1
ASL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
2 - 2
NOV
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 2
ACI
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FIA
0 - 0
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 1
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
PIS
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 1
COM
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |