Lucchese Libertas vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ACL
2 - 1
ASL
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ASL
2 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CES
2 - 0
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ASL
5 - 1
ALV
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
ASL
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
PIS
4 - 2
ARZ
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 0
PIS
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 2
REG
42%
29%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
PIS
51%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
2 - 2
TRI
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |