Lucchese Libertas vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 2
PIS
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 3
GEN
10%
19%
72%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ASL
4 - 5
CAR
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 2
ASL
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 4
ACD
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
PIA
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 3
PIA
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 0
PIA
20%
23%
58%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PIA
5 - 1
VNZ
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |