Lucchese Libertas vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
PES
2 - 1
ASL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 0
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
ASL
0 - 2
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
PAL
2 - 2
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 1
PIS
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 1
ANC
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
PAL
0 - 1
PRG
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRG
29%
31%
41%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
PRG
2 - 2
CES
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
GEN
0 - 1
PRG
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |