Lucchese Libertas vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASL
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
VNZ
5 - 3
ASL
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
ASL
2 - 0
ANC
37%
30%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1994 |
FIO
1 - 1
ASL
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
PRG
1 - 1
PIA
28%
34%
38%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
PAR
4 - 0
PRG
83%
13%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
PRG
2 - 0
VER
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIA
29%
30%
41%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
PIA
3 - 1
PRG
78%
15%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |