Lucchese Libertas vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
VER
1 - 0
ASL
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
USA
2 - 1
ASL
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ASL
2 - 3
UDI
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
ASL
0 - 2
PRO
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
USF
4 - 1
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 3
LEC
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
PRO
5 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 0
USF
40%
25%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
ASS
3 - 1
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |