Lucchese Libertas vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASL
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
ANC
0 - 2
ASL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
3 - 4
CAG
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 2
FIA
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
PES
0 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 1
CES
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 0
PAR
20%
31%
49%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
PAL
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |