Lucchese Libertas vs Olbia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
ASL
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 1
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
3 - 0
ASL
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
OLB
3 - 2
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
2 - 1
OLB
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
OLB
3 - 2
PIS
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
PES
2 - 0
OLB
73%
16%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 3
CAG
9%
19%
73%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |