Lucchese Libertas vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAS
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 0
ASL
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
USC
1 - 3
ASL
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
4 - 3
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FIA
0 - 3
NOV
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACP
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SAS
2 - 0
NOV
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 0
NOV
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 2
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |